Recent Case Study

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INCOMING CASE STUDY 

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HTML: https://betanalpha.github.io/assets/chapters_html/reading_times.html

PDF: https://betanalpha.github.io/assets/chapters_pdf/reading_times.pdf

In this case study I analyze reading time data, comparing and contrasting — and ultimately combining! — two popular hypotheses for how we comprehend words as we parse them. Who needs model comparison when we have joint models?

The models considered demonstrate pairwise comparison modeling and mixture modeling techniques, as well as how those techniques can be integrated together into consistent models. Each is also complemented with extensive prior modeling, prior checking, and retrodictive checking.

Perhaps just for my own entertainment I also spend way too much time doing some software archeology to investigate some awkward behaviors and then demonstrate various ways to accommodate discretized observations.

Recent Talk

Earlier this month I gave a talk on (narratively) generative modeling that was followed by a brief review of this new case study. You can watch both at https://princeton.zoom.us/rec/share/l2L5A-l6XFnCqkObIyDvTRpMAEgl_dRoU14P05i9Mc3ugnDXc4xFWwYSLS0frsSy.D60PrddwSXEuZTVL?from=hub.

Consulting and Training

Are you, or is someone you know, struggling to develop, implement, or scale a Bayesian analysis compatible with your domain expertise? If so then I can help.

I can be reached at [email protected] for any questions about potential consulting engagements and training courses.

Probabilistic Modeling Discord

I set up an open Discord server dedicated to discussion about (narratively) generative modeling of all kinds. For directions on how to join see https://www.patreon.com/posts/generative-88674175. Come join the conversation!

Support Me on Patreon

If my work had benefited your own and you have the resources then consider supporting me on Patreon, https://www.patreon.com/c/betanalpha. Supporters have access to not only new material but also over six years of archived material, which I’ve just recently organized to be easier to navigate.