The One Stat That Increases Your Chances of Winning to 86%
Oct 24, 2022 4:17 pm
Coach ,
If your team can win the explosives battle, you increase your chances of winning that game to 86%.
Mike Earys, a long-time Green Bay Packers analyst defined an explosive as:
+16 yard pass
+12 yard run
Jeff Mullen who coordinated at the FBS level for 10 years viewed it as 10-yard run or a first down, and a 20-yard pass (two first downs).
Regardless of the definition, it is clear that the stat of the highest correlation to winning is explosives.
Therefore, it’s in your best interest to win the explosive battle!
We take a look at what some of the best offensive minds at both the college and high school levels are doing to create explosive plays. Here are four ways to go to get it done.
#1) An “Attitude Pass” - Seam Read
Probably one of the most sound approaches is to have a play within your arsenal that creates explosives by design and is repped by your players over and over.
Josh Herring, Offensive Coordinator at Jones County HS (GA) has created that with their Seam Read concept. Like an “attitude” run of Power, for example, the Seam Read is an “attitude pass” which he can call over and over regardless of what the defense is running.
This approach helps you avoid being a schemer looking for one-off calls that you can’t get good at because you do not rep them. Coach Herring explains why the seam read is one of those types of plays in this video (click on image for video):
Coach Herring explains the read concept in its entirety and addresses why this method is better than the “old school read” (click on image for video)
Video: Creating Four Verticals with the Seam Read Effect
#2) Stress the Safeties with Double Post
The Massillon Tigers just finished the regular season at 8-1 and the number one seed in their region in the Ohio High School playoffs.
Double Post is one of Offensive Coordinator Jarrett Troxler’s favorites. It is built on the spacing created by the specific angles of each post. It also allows for some simple game plan adjustments to the backside receiver routes to make the play even more dynamic. Strategically, this play is best up to the +40 and is a nice shot play that can hit the home run in that area of the field.
He breaks down game film on their double post in this video (click on image for video):
Once the quarterback and receivers understand the basics of running the different posts and creating space, the package can continue to expand into the other concepts that are part of their vertical package.
#3) Tempo + Base Play + Unusual Formation
Rhett Lashlee made a name for himself running an uptempo explosive offense, and a key to it is being able to go fast and run the same plays over and over.
In this example, the combination of extremely fast tempo (you will see the chains aren’t even set), formation into the boundary which forces the defense to put numbers in one place and expose another, and the stretch play which is a staple in their offense work together synergistically to create an explosive run (click on image for video):
#4) Attack the Defender Who has Dual Responsibility
One aspect of offensive football that creates explosive is attacking a defender that has been put in conflict in being a dual role (run and pass) defender. Dino Babers, head coach at Syracuse, explains some of the different conflicts they create and shows game film of the explosives created in this video (click on image for video):
Explosive plays can change the momentum of the game, and statistically increase the chances of scoring significantly with just one run of 12+ or one pass of 16+ yards in a drive. Whether you take these ideas as is or build on your own concepts with these strategies, one thing is for sure, you now have answers to create some of those big plays.
Always be growing!
Coach Grabowski