Portugal Just Proved Me Right (And Expats Will Pay the Price)

Oct 31, 2025 1:34 pm

For years, people have asked me the same question, “Mikkel, why don’t you ever recommend Portugal?


It’s a country that has historically been known as an expat haven, but in recent years, it has begun to take a much less welcoming stance toward foreigners. 


Last year, Portugal removed the real estate investment option for its Golden Visa, removing one of the most favourable pathways toward gaining citizenship through the program. 


Well, now, you have your answer.


Portugal’s parliament has just approved a bill to double the timeline to citizenship from 5 to 10 years (except for Portuguese-speaking or EU member state nationals, who now need to wait 7 years) without grandfathering in most residents already in the country.


Yes, you read that right.


Investors, entrepreneurs, and families who played by the rules, invested in good faith, and expected to apply for citizenship next year… are now being told to wait six more years.


This isn’t a policy tweak. It’s a complete betrayal.


If you’ve followed me for a while, you’ll know that I don’t find this latest move too surprising. 


Back in July, I wrote an email in which I warned that this was coming, and said that you should strike Portugal “off your list with a bold marker.” 


And I meant it.


I’ve had countless people ask why I never partnered with developers or projects there, and why I’ve spent years talking clients out of Portugal’s Golden Visa.


My answer is that the system never made sense. It was always fragile and ripe for a swift political reversal.


Why would they let you spend seven days a year in a country and then hand you a passport at the end of five years?


Does that sound like a path to integration and permanence, or a loophole waiting to close?


And now, everything I warned about is happening.


For applications already in process, the old five-year rule still applies, but only if citizenship is already pending.


Everyone else, including Golden Visa and Digital Nomad residents who haven’t yet applied, must now conform to the new seven- or ten-year timeline.


Worse still, the citizenship clock now starts when residency is granted, not when it’s applied for. 


Since obtaining a residence permit often takes 2 to 3 years, most applicants will effectively face a wait of nine to thirteen years for naturalization.


They already scrapped the Non-Habitual Residency program. They’ve strangled foreign investment. And now, by moving the goalposts retroactively, they’ve confirmed what I said from day one:


Portugal can’t be trusted as a long-term jurisdiction.


The entire expat industry in Portugal was built on the promise of stability, predictability, and respect for the law. 


But now, the government has decided that commitments made to expats no longer matter.


Look to Panama or Paraguay, countries that still reward productivity, respect private property, and operate on stable, constitutional frameworks.


These jurisdictions have territorial tax systems, straightforward residency programs, and predictable timelines that don’t move every election cycle.



Speak soon,

Mikkel


PS. Since smart people are looking at the amazing opportunities in Latin America, join me and a small, freedom-minded group next month for our upcoming exploration and investment tour in Colombia. This is a country I’ve been visiting and investing in for years, and I’m excited to formally take the Expat Money community on our first official exploration and investment tour to this nation on the rise. I hope to see you there.








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